Short-sighted forecasters

The forecasts from all the analyst firms are more or the less the same for the tablet OS. By 2015 the market will be a 2 horse race between iOS and Android. Each one will gather around 120M units and QNX, WebOs and others will crawl at roughly 40M units in 2015.

tablet OS forecast

tablet OS forecast - analysts' consensus

No mention of any Windows OS. Frankly, let’s be serious. I know the guys from Microsoft aren’t the fastest in this nascent industry but after the announcement by Balmer of Windows 8 supporting ARM architecture, does any analyst really think that Microsoft will not join the party?

Can anyone think of the tablet and PC markets not colliding? Can anyone think of Microsoft looking at this 300M device train from the platform? Analysts seem sometime a bit shortsighted.


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